Predicting What Will Happen When You Intervene

Predicting What Will Happen When You Intervene

This paper offers some rules of thumb that practicing social workers can use for case studies that aim to construct, albeit not fully and never entirely reliably, models designed to help predict what will happen if they intervene in specific ways to help this particular client, here and now. We call these 'ex ante case-specific causal models'. 'Ex ante' because they are for before-the-fact pred...

It Will Happen to You

Everyone experiences bereavement but few give prior thought to it. Knowing something about the possible reactions and repercussions of bereavement is the best preparation for it.

What Will Probably Happen

What Will Happen to Brazilian Fertility?

Despite the absence of an official family planning policy, demographic changes in Brazil occurred at an unprecedented pace in the second half of the twentieth century, ushering in an era with total fertility rates near the replacement level. According to the population censuses, the total population in Brazil was 52 million in 1950 and 170 million in 2000. This reflected a mean annual growth ra...

When will you do what? - Anticipating Temporal Occurrences of Activities

Analyzing human actions in videos has gained increased attention recently. While most works focus on classifying and labeling observed video frames or anticipating the very recent future, making long-term predictions over more than just a few seconds is a task with many practical applications that has not yet been addressed. In this paper, we propose two methods to predict a considerably large ...